Iraq is Important
Like most Americans these days, I'm not particularly happy about our involvment in Iraq or the lack of progress that's being made towards stabilizing the violence there. And yet, there is a strong argument for continuing US involvment in Iraq on a large scale - a view that I do not endorse, but one that I feel has been lost in the quagmire of incompetence that has engulfed this administration (recently highlighted by George Tenet's remarkable revelations). I bring this up because Joe Lieberman had an Op-Ed piece in the Washington Post a few days agothat makes this case, and while I don't buy his conclusions he does make some acute observations that people in this country should consider carefully.
Senator Lieberman says the following: "Al-Qaeda's strategy for victory in Iraq is clear. It is trying to kill as many innocent people as possible in the hope of reigniting Shiite sectarian violence and terrorizing the Sunnis into submission."
This seems quite accurate - but it's even more important to realize where this comes from. Al-Qaeda is not a terrorist organization in the traditional sense of the 20th century terrorists movements. It is not like ETA, the PLO, the IRA, or the Tamil Tigers. It does not want to establish a national identity and create its own state. It does not seek legitimacy through open negotiations with heads of state, or fear that using a nuclear bomb would hurt its cause. Rather it is an organization that thrives on terror and absolute control - killing civilians has become an end in itself, because this creates the fear that allows them to rule with impunity.
The necesary result of this analysis is that when US forces leave Iraq, unless the Iraqi people band together in a way they have never done in history to quell Al-Qaeda's rise, we will probably end up with a radically Islamist government that would have massive implications for stability in the Middle East, as well as for our continued safety at home. Terror is a powerful tool, and it takes country with a strong national identity and adherence to democracy to resist it. Iraq is not at that stage yet, or at least it does not appear to be. I don't think that this analysis necessarily leads to the long term military occupation solutions that John McCain or others are calling for, but it is important to realize the stakes that are involved.
Senator Lieberman makes his second major point when he says: "Al-Qaeda, after all, isn't carrying out mass murder against civilians in the streets of Baghdad because it wants a more equitable distribution of oil revenue. Its aim in Iraq isn't to get a seat at the political table; it wants to blow up the table -- along with everyone seated at it."
This statement gets to the fundamental nature of the war on terror. Terror is not just a tool of Al-Qaeda, it is a system of governance that is diametrically opposed to the democratic and parlimentary systems that dominate the world. Teror prevents individuals from rallying to together, demanding individual freedoms, and governing with the consent of the governed. Consequentially, it is not in Al-Qaeda's interest to negotiate - and there is no indication that it will stop at Iraq if we leave there, and every indication that it will continue to be a national security threat for our country. Winning the war on terror is imperative for us
The problem is that many folks, including apparently Joe Lieberman, confuse winning the war on terror with subduing Iraq, or Afghanistan, or killing terrorists around the world. This is a new type of war, one that will not be won by the capture of a nation's capital, or the installation of a puppet government. Rather, this war is won simply by not being lost. Terror cannot exist in a vacuum - it is viral in nature, and needs to spread as it destroys its host. We don't have to occupy Iraq and hunt down every terrorist to win. We simply have to ensure that there are stable forces in that country that operate outside the zone dominated by terror. Granted that is easier said than done, but neither does it require a large military occupation, or even a continued offensive by our troops.
Like most Americans these days, I'm not particularly happy about our involvment in Iraq or the lack of progress that's being made towards stabilizing the violence there. And yet, there is a strong argument for continuing US involvment in Iraq on a large scale - a view that I do not endorse, but one that I feel has been lost in the quagmire of incompetence that has engulfed this administration (recently highlighted by George Tenet's remarkable revelations). I bring this up because Joe Lieberman had an Op-Ed piece in the Washington Post a few days agothat makes this case, and while I don't buy his conclusions he does make some acute observations that people in this country should consider carefully.
Senator Lieberman says the following: "Al-Qaeda's strategy for victory in Iraq is clear. It is trying to kill as many innocent people as possible in the hope of reigniting Shiite sectarian violence and terrorizing the Sunnis into submission."
This seems quite accurate - but it's even more important to realize where this comes from. Al-Qaeda is not a terrorist organization in the traditional sense of the 20th century terrorists movements. It is not like ETA, the PLO, the IRA, or the Tamil Tigers. It does not want to establish a national identity and create its own state. It does not seek legitimacy through open negotiations with heads of state, or fear that using a nuclear bomb would hurt its cause. Rather it is an organization that thrives on terror and absolute control - killing civilians has become an end in itself, because this creates the fear that allows them to rule with impunity.
The necesary result of this analysis is that when US forces leave Iraq, unless the Iraqi people band together in a way they have never done in history to quell Al-Qaeda's rise, we will probably end up with a radically Islamist government that would have massive implications for stability in the Middle East, as well as for our continued safety at home. Terror is a powerful tool, and it takes country with a strong national identity and adherence to democracy to resist it. Iraq is not at that stage yet, or at least it does not appear to be. I don't think that this analysis necessarily leads to the long term military occupation solutions that John McCain or others are calling for, but it is important to realize the stakes that are involved.
Senator Lieberman makes his second major point when he says: "Al-Qaeda, after all, isn't carrying out mass murder against civilians in the streets of Baghdad because it wants a more equitable distribution of oil revenue. Its aim in Iraq isn't to get a seat at the political table; it wants to blow up the table -- along with everyone seated at it."
This statement gets to the fundamental nature of the war on terror. Terror is not just a tool of Al-Qaeda, it is a system of governance that is diametrically opposed to the democratic and parlimentary systems that dominate the world. Teror prevents individuals from rallying to together, demanding individual freedoms, and governing with the consent of the governed. Consequentially, it is not in Al-Qaeda's interest to negotiate - and there is no indication that it will stop at Iraq if we leave there, and every indication that it will continue to be a national security threat for our country. Winning the war on terror is imperative for us
The problem is that many folks, including apparently Joe Lieberman, confuse winning the war on terror with subduing Iraq, or Afghanistan, or killing terrorists around the world. This is a new type of war, one that will not be won by the capture of a nation's capital, or the installation of a puppet government. Rather, this war is won simply by not being lost. Terror cannot exist in a vacuum - it is viral in nature, and needs to spread as it destroys its host. We don't have to occupy Iraq and hunt down every terrorist to win. We simply have to ensure that there are stable forces in that country that operate outside the zone dominated by terror. Granted that is easier said than done, but neither does it require a large military occupation, or even a continued offensive by our troops.
